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Rwanda will be value for money if it stops just a third of small boats, Home Office says as law set to pass THIS WEEK

If peers finally approve the plan today then King Charles could sign it into law by the end of the week

RWANDA will be value for money if it deters just a third of small boats, according to the Home Office.

The internal assessments emerged as 534 illegal migrants crossed the Channel in 10 dinghies on Sunday in the highest daily total for the year so far.

More than 6,264 people have crossed in small boats this year already
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More than 6,264 people have crossed in small boats this year alreadyCredit: Getty

It means 6,264 people have made the dangerous journey from France since January - a 28 per cent faster rate than 2023.

Rishi Sunak last night doubled down his pledge to get Rwanda flights going by the end of spring as MPs punted his flagship Bill back to the Lords.

If peers finally approve the plan today then King Charles could sign it into law by the end of the week.

Yesterday the Home Office’s top civil servant Sir Matthew Rycroft said the costs of deporting asylum seekers to Kigali would be worth it if a third of small boats were stopped.

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It would mean slashing the current annual figures by around 10,000 people.

He revealed that a further £50million would be sent to Rwanda once the Safety of Rwanda Bill became law.

Sir Matthew also admitted to looking at other countries besides Rwanda to broaden the scheme but that only a “tiny number” were suitable.

He came under fire as it emerged the Home Office grossly underestimated the costs of turning old RAF bases into migrant bases.

The Wethersfield and Scampton airfields were due to cost £5million each, but the latest figures had surged to £49million and £27million respectively.

And the Bibby Stockholm barge has still not reached its 400-person capacity, with the ambition to hit that figure in June.

When will Rwanda flights take off?

What is the Rwanda plan?

Under the plan, anyone who arrives in Britain illegally will be deported to Rwanda, a country in eastern Africa.

The government believes the threat of being removed to Rwanda will deter migrants from making the dangerous Channel crossing in small boats.

Once in Rwanda, their asylum claims will be processed but there is no route back to the UK, save for some exceptional circumstances such as individual safety concerns. Britain will pay for migrants to start a new life in Rwanda. 

What’s the hold up?

First announced by Boris Johnson in 2022, the scheme has been bogged down by relentless legal challenges.

The first flight was due to take off in summer 2022, but was blocked on the runway at the last minute by a European Court order.

Since then the legality of the plan has been contested in the courts, culminating in a Supreme Court judgement in November last year which said Rwanda was unsafe for asylum seekers. 

What is Sunak doing?

To salvage the Rwanda plan from the Supreme Court’s scathing ruling, Rishi Sunak announced a two-pronged workaround.

First, he would sign a new treaty with Rwanda to beef up protections for asylum seekers that will be enshrined in law.

Second, he would introduce new legislation that would declare Rwanda a safe country.

It would mean courts, police and officials would have to treat it as safe unless there is a risk of individual and irreparable harm.

How long will that take?

The legislation has cleared the Commons but is now being held up in the House of Lords. 

Rishi Sunak does not have a majority in the Lords, and peers are far more hostile to the plan.

They will likely send it back to the Commons with amendments watering down the scheme.

Such changes would be unconscionable to MPs who would strip out the measures and send it back.

This “ping-pong” will continue until either side - usually the unelected Lords - gives in and the Bill passes.

When will flights take off?

Mr Sunak wants to get the first flights sent to Rwanda by the spring. 

But potential hurdles include more court battles launched by individual migrants either in UK courts or the European Court of Human Rights. 

Mr Sunak has vowed to ignore any more orders by Strasbourg judges to ground planes, although individual appeals in domestic courts could prove tricky.

Sir Keir Starmer has said he will scrap the scheme if he is elected PM, even if it is working

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