England’s local elections begin amidst predictions of Conservative losses

The elections cover more than 2,600 seats across 107 English councils and are viewed as a litmus test of the Conservative Party’s standing among voters. Keir Starmer, leader of the Labour Party, framed the elections as an opportunity for change, emphasizing a shift towards policies that prioritize the interests of working people and restore trust in politics.

In addition to council seats, ten metro mayoralties, including London, and 37 police and crime commissioner positions in England and Wales are up for grabs. Notably, there are no elections in Scotland or Northern Ireland, nor local council elections in Wales.

A parliamentary byelection in Blackpool South adds to the electoral landscape, with Labour hopeful of reclaiming the seat vacated by former Tory MP Scott Benton. Psephologists anticipate significant losses for the Conservatives, with predictions of up to 500 council seats at risk.

Despite challenges, Sunak urged voters to support the Conservative Party, framing the choice as one between effective governance and what he termed as “virtue-signaling” by opposition figures. Key battlegrounds include the West Midlands and Tees Valley, where Labour aims to unseat incumbent mayors Andy Street and Ben Houchen, respectively.

Downing Street is closely monitoring these contests, with concerns that a poor showing could lead to a leadership challenge against Sunak. However, business secretary Kemi Badenoch dismissed such speculation, reaffirming support for the prime minister.

The outcome of the mayoral elections, particularly in the West Midlands and Tees Valley, will be closely watched for indications of political trends. Labour tempered expectations of victory, suggesting that incumbency might favor the current mayors.

Meanwhile, the Liberal Democrats have positioned themselves as an alternative to the Conservative government, emphasizing their presence in traditional Tory strongholds. Party leader Ed Davey highlighted the opportunity for voters to elect strong local champions committed to fighting for their communities’ interests.

As voters head to the polls, the results of these local elections have broader implications for the political landscape in England and the trajectory of national leadership.